Abstract
During the second half of 2002, from late June to mid December, the University of Northampton Radon Research Group operated two continuous hourly-sampling radon detectors 2.25km apart in the English East Midlands. This period included the Dudley earthquake (ML = 5, 22 September 2002) and also a smaller earthquake in the English Channel (ML = 3, 26 August 2002). Rolling/sliding windowed cross-correlation of the paired radon time-series revealed periods of simultaneous similar radon anomalies which occurred at the time of these earthquakes but at no other times during the overall radon monitoring period. Stan- dardising the radon data in terms of probability of magnitude, analogous to the Standardised Precipitation Indices (SPIs) used in drought modelling, which effectively equalises dif- ferent non-linear responses, reveals that the dissimilar rela- tive magnitudes of the anomalies are in fact closely equiprob- abilistic. Such methods could help in identifying anomalous signals in radon – and other – time-series and in evaluating their statistical significance in terms of earthquake precur- sory behaviour.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 1839-1844 |
| Number of pages | 6 |
| Journal | Natural Hazards and Earth System Science |
| Volume | 11 |
| Issue number | 7 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 5 Jul 2011 |
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