More rain, less soil: long-term changes in rainfall intensity with climate change

Tim Burt, John Boardman, Ian D L Foster, Nicholas Howden

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticle

Abstract

This commentary discusses the role of long-term climate change in driving increases in soil erosion. Assuming that land use and management remain effectively constant, we discuss changes in the ability of rainfall to cause erosion (erosivity), using long daily rainfall data sets from south east England. An upward trend in mean rainfall per rain day is detected at the century-plus time scale. Implications for soil erosion and sediment delivery are discussed and evidence from other regions reviewed. We conclude that rates of soil erosion may well increase in a warmer, wetter world.
Original languageEnglish
JournalEarth Surface Processes and Landforms
Volume41
Issue number4
Early online date21 Dec 2015
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 30 Mar 2016

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precipitation intensity
long-term change
soil erosion
rainfall
climate change
erosivity
soil
land management
timescale
erosion
land use
sediment
rain

Keywords

  • Soil erosion
  • erosivity
  • climate change

Cite this

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abstract = "This commentary discusses the role of long-term climate change in driving increases in soil erosion. Assuming that land use and management remain effectively constant, we discuss changes in the ability of rainfall to cause erosion (erosivity), using long daily rainfall data sets from south east England. An upward trend in mean rainfall per rain day is detected at the century-plus time scale. Implications for soil erosion and sediment delivery are discussed and evidence from other regions reviewed. We conclude that rates of soil erosion may well increase in a warmer, wetter world.",
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More rain, less soil: long-term changes in rainfall intensity with climate change. / Burt, Tim; Boardman, John; Foster, Ian D L; Howden, Nicholas.

In: Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, Vol. 41, No. 4, 30.03.2016.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticle

TY - JOUR

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AU - Boardman, John

AU - Foster, Ian D L

AU - Howden, Nicholas

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N2 - This commentary discusses the role of long-term climate change in driving increases in soil erosion. Assuming that land use and management remain effectively constant, we discuss changes in the ability of rainfall to cause erosion (erosivity), using long daily rainfall data sets from south east England. An upward trend in mean rainfall per rain day is detected at the century-plus time scale. Implications for soil erosion and sediment delivery are discussed and evidence from other regions reviewed. We conclude that rates of soil erosion may well increase in a warmer, wetter world.

AB - This commentary discusses the role of long-term climate change in driving increases in soil erosion. Assuming that land use and management remain effectively constant, we discuss changes in the ability of rainfall to cause erosion (erosivity), using long daily rainfall data sets from south east England. An upward trend in mean rainfall per rain day is detected at the century-plus time scale. Implications for soil erosion and sediment delivery are discussed and evidence from other regions reviewed. We conclude that rates of soil erosion may well increase in a warmer, wetter world.

KW - Soil erosion

KW - erosivity

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U2 - 10.1002/esp.3868

DO - 10.1002/esp.3868

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JO - Earth Surface Processes and Landforms

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SN - 0197-9337

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